March 23, 2013

Breaking: Arctic Ice Breaks Up in Beaufort Sea. {Video} ~ Paul Beckwith

For the record—I do not think that any sea ice will survive this summer.

An event unprecedented in human history is today, this very moment, transpiring in the Arctic Ocean.

The cracks in the sea ice that I reported on my Sierra Club Canada blog and elsewhere over the last several days have spread and at this moment the entire sea ice sheet (or about 99 percent of it) covering the Arctic Ocean is on the move. Clockwise. The ice is thin, and slushy, and breaking apart.

This is abrupt climate change in real-time.

Humans have benefited greatly from a stable climate for the last 11,000 years or roughly 400 generations. Not any more. We now face an angry climate. One that we have poked in the eye with our fossil fuel stick and awakened. And now we must deal with the consequences. We must set aside our differences and prepare for what we can no longer avoid. And that is massive disruption to our civilizations.

Satelite imagery from NOAA’s Visualization Lab

The NOAA VisLab uses the imagery from NOAA‘s weather and climate satellites to produce animations that show the dynamic nature of Earth and its environment.

How Climate Change is Destroying our Earth. {Infographic}

Paul Beckwith is a PhD student with the laboratory for paleoclimatology and climatology, department of geography, University of Ottawa. He teaches second year climatology/meteorology as a part-time professor. His thesis topic is “Abrupt climate change in the past and present.” He holds an M.Sc. in laser physics and a B.Eng. in engineering physics and reached the rank of chess master in a previous life.

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Ed: Lynn Hasselberger

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Landbeyond Sep 9, 2013 8:03am

Yes. Not that I think Paul's overall assessment is wrong, but that rash forecast "for the record" should really be addressed now.

Keith Aug 6, 2013 7:35am

Wondering if we could get an update from the author in light of data showing this year has a greater extent of ice than expected. http://neven1.typepad.com/blog/2013/08/asi-2013-u

scientist19 Jun 28, 2013 9:27am

Sadly, the article has 2 flaws:

It does not mention the 2 main drivers of loss, the postiive natural AMO and black soot.

The other is, that we know very little about ice conditions in pre satellite era. We know there have been significant losses earlier last century coming out of the little ice age and with posiitve AMO.

Conditions before the little ice age are unknown, but excluding ice free conditions for 11000 years while many assume the Medieval Warm Period has been wrmer than today and previous warm periods even warmer than the MWP is stepping out of science.

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