Negative urban impact. The city shop transforms into an elite fortification in this scenario. It may appear to be open to anyone on the street, but in reality, it is only open to the wealthiest inhabitants or visitors who can pay to partake in this experience, thereby transforming public spaces into private enclaves. Upscaling of retail has a severe influence on small corner stores, which are gradually being replaced with digital vending machines, eroding yet another community gathering spot. Retail streets are becoming less diverse and more uniform.

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Makers and local start-ups form a “guild” where they can make and sell their items directly to customers. Anyone may join the guild, contribute, and develop thanks to the low entrance barrier and shared cost of equipment like knitting machines and 3D printers. (Violet Whitney + Matthew Ransom)

Indie Guild (Scenario 3)

Manufacturing has been increasingly democratised and localised thanks to technologies like 3D printing and platforms like Etsy. You don’t need a large infrastructure to start a business; all you need now is some low-cost equipment. Handmade goods often have more communal impact and social cachet, especially to the influence of campaigns like “Buy Local.”

The virtual networks of Etsy enter the actual world in a third future scenario. Lower retail rents, combined with anti-corporate attitudes, have prompted manufacturers and local start-ups to band together and open a single site where they can develop and sell their items directly to consumers. Professionals may use fabrication tools to produce furniture as a side job, while budding designers could design (or print) the fashion of the future. Because of the low entry barrier and the inexpensive cost of equipment, anyone can join the guild, participate, and invent.

(Violet Whitney + Matthew Ransom)

Positive urban impact. The low entry barrier and range of product options may not only stimulate a dynamic, diverse street life, but they may also help the city’s overall economic resiliency. By being open to the public during the day and hosting activities at night, the maker space might stimulate interaction and collaboration. Passers-by might be enticed to see the process unfold if the design is transparent and the location is strategic.

This big-box retailer foregoes the storefront in favour of a parking lot and an automated drive-thru. The charm of urban street life in these regions, as well as the humanity of the transaction, would be lost. (Violet Whitney + Matthew Ransom)

Truck-Mart (Scenario 4)

Shopping malls used to be America’s socio-cultural epicentres. These shopping centres, which were located in large suburbias or on the outskirts of cities, enticed tens of thousands of Americans to get in their cars and spend a Saturday shopping. Today, the mall has succumbed to online shopping’s unrivalled convenience and low pricing. While some malls are surviving by transforming into urbanistic “lifestyle centres,” over 700 malls in the United States are suffering. Many have been abandoned, while others have been completely turned into churches, medical facilities, and even houses.

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In a different future scenario, low-cost retailers abandon their commitment to big-box stores and last-mile delivery in order to increase shareholder returns and cut customer pricing. Rebranding as digital dispensaries, these shops sell off the majority of their landholdings to property developers, who make the most of the underutilised land by building high-density, mixed-use buildings. The businesses keep a small portion of their original parking lots, where they continue to service price-conscious clients more quickly by bundling orders, retrieving things from shipping containers or trucks, and delivering them. You — or your self-driving car — pick up the order (which was placed online) and drive home. The drive-thru experience is perfect with no frills.

(Violet Whitney + Matthew Ransom)

Negative urban impact. While it’s fantastic to see underutilised urban property put to better use, the streets and sidewalks surrounding the Truck-Mart would become a machine’s realm. If self-driving cars are dispatched to conduct errands for people, city streets might quickly become overburdened, causing traffic congestion and worsening sprawl. The charm of urban street life in these regions, as well as the humanity of the transaction, would be lost.

Spaces that were originally devoted to ground-floor retail are now occupied by community-led organisations that may or may not sell anything. The street becomes a vehicle for grassroots collaboration and, in effect, an extension of the public space, boosting the chances of chance encounters amongst residents. (Violet Whitney + Matthew Ransom)

Community Commons (Scenario 5)

Work can be done from anywhere in the digital economy, and it is frequently done so. The private and public domains are merging at the same time. Coffee shops have taken on the appearance of living rooms, restaurants have taken on the appearance of home kitchens, and co-working spaces have taken the role of the home office. The café is becoming more and more of a multi-purpose facility where people may drink, eat, chat, and even work. As rising rents drive city dwellers into fewer living areas, services that were formerly reserved for the private sphere now be shared more frequently.

In this scenario, a tax penalty for street-level vacancy encourages community organisations to lease facilities that were originally devoted to ground-floor retail to community organisations that may or may not sell anything at all. Once-vacant stores now house a daycare, a senior health centre, a location for receiving or returning internet purchases, or whatever else the area need. The street is transformed into a platform for grassroots collaboration, which can be aided by digital social networking technologies. It’s been dubbed the anti-retail movement.

Positive urban impact. The Community Commons, when taken as a whole, would meet a variety of local requirements, increasing foot traffic and the chance of incidental meetings between neighbours. These public spaces may encourage the extension of the public realm from the street to the interiors of buildings. One caveat: without open programming or design, the commons may resemble private clubs and lead to uninviting streets.